NarrativeIQ simulates how investors, financial media, and retail traders will react to your earnings release, M&A announcement, or strategic update — days before it reaches the market. In our retrospective Meta Q4 2022 simulation, we forecast the reaction with measurable precision.
IR teams and financial PR agencies spend weeks perfecting a single announcement — then release it into a black box. By the time the analyst notes and Twitter threads surface, the narrative has already hardened. You react. You don't shape.
They're slow, expensive, and they don't simulate a crowd reacting in real time to a headline.
The people reviewing the message already know the context. Markets don't.
The first signal is usually the stock moving — at which point you're writing apologies, not narratives.
We run your draft announcement through a population of 100 AI agents — investors, journalists, retail traders, analysts — each with distinct personas, priors, and incentives. They read. They react. They argue with each other. Over 15 rounds, the dominant narrative emerges.
Earnings release, M&A announcement, CEO letter, guidance update — anything you're about to publish. Under NDA.
100 persona-driven agents read the draft and respond across 15 rounds of discussion. Each round shifts the narrative.
Within 72 hours: predicted sentiment, likely headlines, sharpest counter-narratives, and the exact lines that will be quoted against you.
We took Meta's actual Q4 2022 earnings release and ran it through NarrativeIQ as if it had never been published. The goal: see whether a population of simulated market participants would arrive at the same narrative the real market did.
The simulation's agents latched onto the same two vectors the real market did: the scale of Reality Labs losses and the ambiguity around 2023 capex discipline. Within five rounds of internal discussion, our retail-investor personas had already drafted the headline that would dominate the next morning's coverage.
By round ten, the institutional personas were downgrading. By round fifteen, the narrative had locked: "Zuckerberg's metaverse bet is bleeding the core business." That's almost verbatim what the Financial Times ran the next day. The full methodology and prediction log is available in our founding issue on Substack.
Every engagement is delivered under NDA. Intro rate available for the first cohort of clients in exchange for a testimonial.
A 30-minute discovery call. No pitch deck, no pressure. Bring a draft or just an idea.